THE WAR IN UKRAINE: A Former S2 Analyst's Account of The War So Far.
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THE WAR IN UKRAINE: A Former S2 Analyst's Account of The War So Far.
Sale price
$24.99
Regular price $29.99
What does a former United States Army intelligence analyst — twenty-two years, Gulf War veteran, trained to think like a Soviet officer — see when he watches the Russian military invade Ukraine?
He sees an army that never had a chance.
UKRAINE: An Analyst's Account of the War the Numbers Tell walks through twenty-five battles and campaigns of the Russia-Ukraine War, chapter by chapter, from the catastrophic failure of the northern thrust toward Kyiv in February 2022 to the degradation of the Black Sea Fleet, the long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure, and the strategic case for what comes next in the south.
Each chapter follows the same structure used by professional intelligence analysts: the Russian plan, what the author predicted, what actually happened, and an honest accounting of who won and who failed. The predictions are documented. The record is real.
This is not commentary. This is analysis.
The author examines why Russia's vaunted "second army in the world" collapsed on contact with a force it had dismissed — and why the structural failures were visible to anyone willing to do the math before a single shot was fired. The absence of a professional NCO corps. The BTG doctrine built around a training range, not a battlefield. The Black Sea Fleet's catastrophic dependence on a single flagship for its entire air defense architecture. The supply lines that could not survive a country willing to fight.
For each engagement, the author was there analytically — watching the indicators, running the force ratios, measuring the distances on Google Earth that paid analysts missed. He called the defense of Mariupol as one of the most important strategic delays of the war before the city fell. He identified Snake Island's vulnerability to 155mm artillery weeks before anyone else was asking the question. He tracked the degradation of Russian air defense stockpiles in real time while mainstream commentators were still calling Russia a credible conventional force.
The book also confronts the information war directly. A full Appendix A Field Guide to Mil-bloggers, Analysts, and Fanboys gives readers the practical tools to distinguish real analysis from performance, genuine credentials from lies, and honest uncertainty from narrative management dressed up as expertise.
Twenty-five chapters. Seven parts. Three appendices. Current through June 2026.
For anyone who wants to understand what actually happened in Ukraine — not the television version, not the social media version, but the version the numbers support this is the book.
He sees an army that never had a chance.
UKRAINE: An Analyst's Account of the War the Numbers Tell walks through twenty-five battles and campaigns of the Russia-Ukraine War, chapter by chapter, from the catastrophic failure of the northern thrust toward Kyiv in February 2022 to the degradation of the Black Sea Fleet, the long-range strike campaign against Russian oil infrastructure, and the strategic case for what comes next in the south.
Each chapter follows the same structure used by professional intelligence analysts: the Russian plan, what the author predicted, what actually happened, and an honest accounting of who won and who failed. The predictions are documented. The record is real.
This is not commentary. This is analysis.
The author examines why Russia's vaunted "second army in the world" collapsed on contact with a force it had dismissed — and why the structural failures were visible to anyone willing to do the math before a single shot was fired. The absence of a professional NCO corps. The BTG doctrine built around a training range, not a battlefield. The Black Sea Fleet's catastrophic dependence on a single flagship for its entire air defense architecture. The supply lines that could not survive a country willing to fight.
For each engagement, the author was there analytically — watching the indicators, running the force ratios, measuring the distances on Google Earth that paid analysts missed. He called the defense of Mariupol as one of the most important strategic delays of the war before the city fell. He identified Snake Island's vulnerability to 155mm artillery weeks before anyone else was asking the question. He tracked the degradation of Russian air defense stockpiles in real time while mainstream commentators were still calling Russia a credible conventional force.
The book also confronts the information war directly. A full Appendix A Field Guide to Mil-bloggers, Analysts, and Fanboys gives readers the practical tools to distinguish real analysis from performance, genuine credentials from lies, and honest uncertainty from narrative management dressed up as expertise.
Twenty-five chapters. Seven parts. Three appendices. Current through June 2026.
For anyone who wants to understand what actually happened in Ukraine — not the television version, not the social media version, but the version the numbers support this is the book.